I'm going to try to keep this short
I understand the need to eventually move off oil. I get it. I don't argue that. What I argue is that we kill our economy in the meantime while nobody spends any money because gas prices are so high.
I'm advocating a transition.
Gas prices are only going to get worse (china & india are developing)
we need to move over now. Better sooner than later, If we wait it'll only be much more painful.
SURE, Gas prices are certainly inflated right now.
but you're betting on what? that we'll be able to have cheap gas again & forever?
you know it won't happen.
You're basically arguing that the United States alone should put a choke hold on ourselves while no other country does, so a handful of science students can kill the next decade trying to figure out how to make a battery better.
Not true. other nations have seen the writing on the wall
and are leading the way
if you think that we're going to be "leading the world on this" than you would be incorrect -right now we're really behind in many areas.
I don't think you want them to get so far ahead of us we won't be able to catch up
Are we guilty of something?
It's interesting that you question that.
There's thousands of oil fields out there all over the world (big and small) that haven't been touched. If the big reserves currently being used are ever used up, they'll just start drilling those. I predict that the economy will eventually become bad enough because of high gas prices that we will be drilling our oil within the next few years.
GHAWAR is the worlds largest oil field (Saudi Arabia) and is running dry...
and the best plausible reason for the Iraq invasion (future Iran conflict).
That's fully 20% of the current oil production of the entire planet.
Most of it goes directly to the USA (history link)
http://europe.theoildrum.com/node/2494
The "thousands of untapped oil fields" that you mention simply don't exist.
What it is there is there is a organic material called "kerogen" that's encased in hard rock ("marl")
that is usually prohibitively buried under massive obstructions.
(and I mean massive ... like the rocky mountains)
that would have to be strip mined out to get at them.
http://www.americanfreepress.net/html/u_s__has_massive_oil.html
Not only is it not "oil" but even when it's processed yields an inferior product after processing in expensive plants.
we would be better off trying to use corn to make ethanol.
It'll be cheaper, but we've already agreed that it's a wasteful approach.
Compare that to something revoltingly treehuggerish like solar
and it's really becomes clear.
For example
only 92 square miles of solar generated power would provide for all of the USA's needs.
http://news.cnet.com/8301-10784_3-9775824-7.html
and we avoid the whole nasty thing about "global warming" and "greenhouse effect" from blowing crap into the air.
Since we're agreed that oil is going to run out eventually... best to do it now when it's easy..
not when gas is $25/gallon and the economy is totally wrecked.
About the missle defense; when WW3 starts (and it will sooner than later); do you not want to live in the only country capable of shooting down another country's military satellites? Kinda hard for them to target their missles without GPS
Um, compartively, I seem to be well informed on such matters.
1. WW III is something to seriously avoid.. NOBODY WINS if the planet is nuked. There's no place to hide once that starts.
Religious nutjobs that believe that it'll bring about "white Jesus on a horse"
are the only ones looking forward to it.
2. China has well demonstrated their ability to shoot down satellites.
http://www.space.com/news/070202_china_spacedebris.html
3. Both Europe and China are have their own GPS systems
(Perhaps not need them to target us at all).
Those two systems are also far more accurate than the USA's?
The required hardware is going up there right now.
Europe:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XgxnHsjfOx8
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Galileo_positioning_system
China:
http://www.space.com/businesstechnology/080505-busmon-china-beidou.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beidou_navigation_system
Oh and gas prices are around $2.50 a gallon 30 min away from me in Mexico.
(they have a national petrol company that's controlled by the government that's regulated prices)