Jeremy,
You are making a bunch of excuses for why our success has been as bad as it is, when those excuses are actually indicative of just how abysmal our success rate in establishing species truly is!
You cite "the disbanding of the CIN and the reforming and recovery of chameleon breeding groups in North America through the Chameleon Forums" but I'll remind you that the CiN was disbanded in large part because of just how abysmal our track record was! The editor grew to believe chameleons should not be kept in captivity because of how bad most keepers were, the rampant and uncontrolled trade in wild caught animals, and our inability to establish the vast majority of those species in any form that could withstand not having a continual inflow of wild caught animals. As for whatever subsequent recovery of chameleon breeding groups in North America you are referring to, at this same time there were numerous online communities, websites, books, online magazines, etc., so while it was a terrible resource to lose, there was hardly a recovery. I think things have improved over the years in a lot of ways, but you act like we got screwed somehow and all that has been happening is a recovery from that, which isn't the case at all.
Further, Tanzania shutting down for a few years is a perfect example of just how abysmal our track record is! The United States alone accounts for over 64% of all documented international trade in chameleons and Tanzania is the single largest exporter (on average 44% of the annual international trade between 2004 and 2010). Tanzania has exported over 345,000 chameleons since 1977 but almost 300,000 of those were from 1996 and 2010! Among those exports were dozens of amazing species, but when Tanzania halted export in August of 2011, it didn't take long for all but a couple species to completely disappear from the market! The success stories of it that you are referencing, however, include 2 or 3 K. matschiei clutches over the last decade! I have great hope for K. multituberculata to continue to remain established in the captive market here long term, but while 2-3 clutches of K. matschiei is a welcome event and I applaud the individuals working with them for what they have accomplished, it is hardly evidence of doing well when you look at the big picture and we are a long way off yet from calling this species established. What about the dozens of other species that were regularly exported from Tanzania? What about the thousands of C. dilepis, C. gracilis, K. tavetana, R. temporalis, R. nchisiensis, R. uluguruensis, T. bitaeniatus, T. deremensis, T. fuelleborni, T. j. merumontanus, T. sternfeldi, and T. werneri that were imported? When Tanzania shut down for a few years, those species largely disappeared from the captive market. That is not a good track record!
Additionally, you mentioned irregular imports from other regions, specifically west Africa. I'll remind you, however, that we have been sustaining captive populations of those species on borrowed time. From 2005-2011, more than half of all documented exports of a number of Cameroonian chameleons (T. quadricornis, T. pfefferi, T. "wiedersheimi", and T. montium, for example) was via exports from a country (Equatorial Guinea) where these species do not occur and for which there are no reported imports into this country. This illicit trade has gone so far as to export T. montium under permits for T. feae. While people are working on establishing breeding groups of these species, this isn't the first time (for these or most other species), and we still have a long way to go before these can be called successful. That said, when more than half of the animals we have available to us over the last 9 years have been from dubious sources and we're still trying to establish breeding groups, our track record is hardly what could be called a success story!
As I've said, I don't think any of this is an excuse not to put every effort we have into establishing these Malagasy (and other) species. I do not, however, think we should kid ourselves into thinking our track record is anything other than it is because if anything, this should be alarming enough to push us to try harder!
Chris