There's a reason penguins have never colonized the north pole, mainly because it is all ice and penguins need/prefer to lay their eggs in nests in dirt and rock. And emperor penguins wouldn't stand a chance reproducing with polar bears nearby, they don't have any ability on ice to run away properly and they can't reproduce if they can't stand there protecting their young for weeks at a time.
So, no, this wouldn't work at all. Also, there are very few cases where relocating species to areas where they have never existed have worked, if any have worked at all. It's one thing to introduce Texas panthers to the Everglades's panther population to increase genetic diversity, but it would be nuts to move them to Africa.
so you think it would just be a massacre? i think it may be to a degree.
thats why i mentioned providing some level of protection, at least for a generation.
but at the same time, instinctually, i feel like there would be a major gap in the predator prey dynamic. the penguins wouldnt know to run when a giant snowball barrels their way. and a bear wouldnt know to pursue some wired pillar of birdness.
i feel like this introductory period would provide time enough for both to adapt.
do you feel the penguins would simply rely on their programming and huddle together for months on end like in the antarctic? or would they capitalize in the estranged environment and take advantage of the new potential resources and topography.
personally i think, while they will fall back on their instincts, they would also learn to cope differently in this alien environment. i think they would readily recognize the differences.
its the same deal with megafauna in the states. there are major gaps in the ecosystem. little can be done now with the sheer volume of humans. but for instance there was a prehistoric equivalent of the cheetah in north america, hence why the pronghorn is the fastest land herbivore. could you imagine how fast that cat must have been to push convergent evolution to such a degree? something the cheetah hasnt even accomplished.
ideally humans would just live in giant monoliths and leave nature to itself. but we have becoe far too much of an influence on this world. so much so i feel like our interference is critical in bringing balance back to what we have broken.
so with that said i still think penguins might be a viable option in restoring some balance, or order to the north pole.
and as far as you saying "There's a reason penguins have never colonized the north pole" yeah its becuae its on the opposite end of the planet and such an exodus would plainly be unfathomable without some viable resource and lack of predation along the way.
rock, ice, tundra. dramatic seasonal changes. there are plenty of penguin species capable with coping in these environments. sure very alien, but with a level of protection i think establishing populations and adaptation is a serious possibility.